Russia's Syria Future Uncertain

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volatile Libya

Al Jazeera

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‘More bullets’: Analysts mull whether Russia will move to Libya after Syria

Summary

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77% Informative

Russia provided vital military and diplomatic support critical to maintaining the rule of Bashar al-Assad .

With Syria in the hands of an administration headed by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham , the future of those bases is unclear.

The loss of the bases vital links in the chain of influence from Moscow to the Mediterranean and into Africa would be damaging.

Libya is acknowledged as the only practical alternative if Russia decides to withdraw all or some of its forces from Syria .

The UN last week announced new negotiations aimed at holding the first national vote since the failure of 2021 .

Analysts say establishment of a major Russian military hub in eastern Libya would give its ally Haftar an outsized voice in negotiations that he could walk away from without cost.

The UN -proposed negotiations, however, “wouldn’t be a negotiation”.

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formal

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English

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