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Iranian defence establishmentQuillette
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72% Informative
Iran is close to nuclear breakout capability, according to IAEA .
Nuclear deterrence could grant the Islamic Republic a freer hand to use conventional force and provide the regime with the cover it needs to reconstruct its battered proxies.
While the nuclear breakout clock ticks, time may also be expiring on the Ayatollah regime’s grip on the region.
Trump has said that he will resume a “maximum pressure” policy against Iran , tightening economic sanctions.
This could destabilise the Islamic Republic domestically, but it is likely to be of limited effect.
Iran has a proven ability to circumvent sanctions with the help of its great power allies, Russia , and especially China .
The closer Iran gets to nuclear capability, the higher the likelihood of a pre-emptive strike.
The disintegration of Iran ’s resistance axis suggests that its regional ambitions are unlikely to come to fruition.
Perhaps the regime itself is as vulnerable as its proxies.
Its position has become strategically untenable. As analyst David Ignatius put it, “ Iran appears to be at the most precarious moment in its modern history”.
VR Score
72
Informative language
68
Neutral language
27
Article tone
formal
Language
English
Language complexity
64
Offensive language
likely offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
16
Source diversity
15
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