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Steve Kornacki: The key voter shifts that led to Trump's battleground state sweep

NBC News
Summary
Nutrition label

73% Informative

With the final votes now largely tallied, we dug into the county-level, demographic and exit poll data to identify the key voter trends in the states that decided the 2024 presidential election.

For Vice President Kamala Harris , the battleground picture is one of regression — a widespread failure to match Joe Biden’s 2020 performance.

Trump improved on his 2020 showing in 153 of Georgia ’s 159 counties.

But Harris lost ground compared to Biden in three counties in Michigan .

With her gains limited to wine country and resort towns, she simply couldn’t keep pace.

Nevada is a battleground state, but it's not enough to put it back in the Republican column.

Trump and Harris tied among Nevada ’s Hispanic voters after Biden won them by 26 points in 2020 .

After losing Clark by 9.4 points to Biden four years ago , Trump fell only 2.6 points short this time around.

Trump saw his margins tick slightly upward across most of small-town and rural North Carolina .

VR Score

86

Informative language

93

Neutral language

40

Article tone

formal

Language

English

Language complexity

44

Offensive language

not offensive

Hate speech

not hateful

Attention-grabbing headline

not detected

Known propaganda techniques

not detected

Time-value

short-lived

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