Humans Overreach 1.5C Warming Threshold
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measured warmingMailOnline
•World has exceeded the critical 1.5°C warming threshold, study warns
81% Informative
Researchers from Leeds and Lancaster Universities have pushed benchmark back to the 1700s .
Measuring from this period produces estimates for the human contribution to climate change which are 30 per cent higher than standard models.
This method screens out natural variations like the El Niño effect, showing exactly how much warming is due to human activity.
However, this does not necessarily mean the Paris Agreement's 1.5 temperature guardrail is breached, as we find that 0.18C of warming happened before global temperature records began'.
2024 is on track to become the first year to exceed 1.5C above the pre-industrial average.
This will be especially relevant as world leaders prepare to meet at COP29.
Dr Jarvis insists that their paper does not show that humanity is out of time to act.
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