This is a news story, published by Washington Examiner, that relates primarily to Polymarket news.
For more Polymarket news, you can click here:
more Polymarket newsFor more Us campaigns & elections news, you can click here:
more Us campaigns & elections newsFor more news from Washington Examiner, you can click here:
more news from Washington ExaminerOtherweb, Inc is a public benefit corporation, dedicated to improving the quality of news people consume. We are non-partisan, junk-free, and ad-free. We use artificial intelligence (AI) to remove junk from your news feed, and allow you to select the best politics news, business news, entertainment news, and much more. If you like this article about Us campaigns & elections, you might also like this article about
Electoral College victory. We are dedicated to bringing you the highest-quality news, junk-free and ad-free, about your favorite topics. Please come every day to read the latest slight betting news, Republican candidate wins news, news about Us campaigns & elections, and other high-quality news about any topic that interests you. We are working hard to create the best news aggregator on the web, and to put you in control of your news feed - whether you choose to read the latest news through our website, our news app, or our daily newsletter - all free!
closest presidential election raceWashington Examiner
•
84% Informative
Well over $3 billion was bet on the 2024 presidential race, including over $2.6 billion on Polymarket alone.
The bettors predicted a Trump victory for 30 consecutive days going into the election, giving him a 28.9 -point lead a week ago .
Election markets tend to favor Democrats in general, but less so than the polls or predictive models such as FiveThirtyEight. They tend to be more “surprised” when a Republican candidate wins, making it no surprise that Trump outperformed the betting odds in 2024 .
Trump outperformed the odds and the polls en route to victory in the Electoral College and popular vote.
History shows that betting odds are efficient at predicting a candidate’s chance of winning an election.
Between 2016 and 2022 , ElectionBettingOdds tracked 807 different candidates’ chances across a number of elections.
VR Score
90
Informative language
91
Neutral language
52
Article tone
formal
Language
English
Language complexity
41
Offensive language
not offensive
Hate speech
not hateful
Attention-grabbing headline
not detected
Known propaganda techniques
not detected
Time-value
short-lived
External references
5
Source diversity
5
Affiliate links
no affiliate links