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Nikki Haley voters prepare to pick sides: From the Politics Desk

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77% Informative

NBC News Deciders Focus Group featured voters who backed Nikki Haley in the GOP presidential primary.

Chuck Todd : The endgame feels more like 2000 and 2004 than any of Donald Trump ’s previous elections ( 2016 and 2020 ) Todd: Polls indicate a much closer race this time than in 2016 or 2020 .

The last time the polls were collectively this close in the final month of a campaign was during George W. Bush's two .

There are so many cross-currents in this election that a tie (of sorts) feels like the likeliest outcome.

Republicans have the mood music on their side, meaning the sourness about the economy and the current Democratic president gives them the natural “time for a change” messaging that can be persuasive.

Trump and his allies are seizing on routine election processes as signs of fraud in the critical battleground state of Pennsylvania .