Predicting 2020 Presidential Election

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presidential election

Fortune

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Trump's odds have surged over the past week and he now holds a 2 vote electoral college lead, says prominent data scientist

Summary

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66% Informative

Thomas Miller , a professor at Northwestern University , has been predicting the outcome of the 2016 presidential election.

Miller maintains that his model guided by political betting data is a much better forecaster than following the individual polls.

The data scientist’s approach is based on results of presidential elections over sixty years .

The Republican standard-bearer maintained a double-digit EV lead until his disastrous appearance before the National Association of Black Journalists on July 31 , where he falsely claimed that Harris misled voters about her race.

That day , the Democrats took the lead for the first time, but Trump bounced back fast, almost leveling the count by August 5 .

The next day , Harris secured the nomination and named Tim Walz as her running mate.

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English

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